APR vs Bugesera: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Bugesera. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APR vs Bugesera?
APR starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,658).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for APR vs Bugesera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
APR
Not enough data to predict the APR lineup.
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APR have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Bugesera have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Marines(home) | 4-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | JSK(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 APR wins, 3 draws, 0 Bugesera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bugesera 2-2 APR | National Soccer League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | APR 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Bugesera 0-1 APR | National Soccer League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | APR 2-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 APR | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | APR 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
APR score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APR sit 12th in National Soccer League (3 points from 1 match) and Bugesera sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about APR vs Bugesera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APR vs Bugesera?
- The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Bugesera.
- Where and when is APR vs Bugesera played?
- APR vs Bugesera is played on May 29, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Amahoro, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.