Aprilia vs Afragolese: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 3Kick-off on October 3, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Quinto Ricci, Aprilia
Full time
What was the result of Aprilia vs Afragolese?
Aprilia won 1-0 on October 3, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 90′?Aprilia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aprilia have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Afragolese have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2021 | Vis Artena(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Ostia Mare(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Gladiator(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Team Nuova Florida(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Lanusei(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2021 | Carbonia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Giugliano(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Vis Artena(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Real Normanna(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Aprilia score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Afragolese score 2.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aprilia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Afragolese | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy