Aracruz vs Tupi: result 3-5 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 1Kick-off on June 1, 2013 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Eugênio Antônio Bitti, Aracruz, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Aracruz vs Tupi?
Tupi won 3-5 on June 1, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 1′BombomAracruz
- 4′Ademilson CorreaTupi (pen.)
- 36′Fabricio Rodrigues SoaresTupi
- 62′Núbio Flávio Martins de SouzaTupi
- 68′BombomAracruz
- 82′Henrique Loureiro dos SantosTupi
- 90′Rafael Estevam de SousaTupi
- 90′BombomAracruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Aracruz have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tupi have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2012 | Nacional MG(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Friburguense(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 3, 2012 | Guarani MG(home) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Volta Redonda(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Guarani MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 0-5 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Oeste(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Brasiliense(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Santo André(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Aracruz score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 8; Tupi score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aracruz | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3 | 3/8 | 1/8 |
| Tupi | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy