Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
The Footlab AI model makes Aragvi Dusheti the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Merani Martvili. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aragvi Dusheti wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,653 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Aragvi Dusheti (1,449) and Merani Martvili (1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aragvi Dusheti
4-3-3- 16D. Amoako
- 9E. Sadikov
- 30T. Bzekalava
- 27B. Nuhu
- 11S. Dvalishvili
- 18T. Bregvadze
- 5L. Chokheli
- 3T. Molashvili
- 21N. Mensa
- 13I. Javakhishvili
- 12G. Kutateladze
Merani Martvili
4-3-3- 24S. Kukhianidze
- 7J. Esonkulov
- 9A. Jolokhava
- 10L. Tsotsonava
- 14D. Khelaia
- 6R. Chkhaidze
- 25D. Mala
- 4N. Kharabadze
- 23G. Gvasalia
- 5N. Tchumburidze
- 1K. Khamkhoev
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aragvi Dusheti have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Merani Martvili have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gori(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gareji(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sioni(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shturmi(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gori(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 0-5 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aragvi Dusheti wins, 4 draws, 2 Merani Martvili wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Merani Martvili 3-1 Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 29, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti 1-1 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Merani Martvili 1-1 Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 5, 2020 | Aragvi Dusheti 1-1 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 24, 2020 | Merani Martvili 0-0 Aragvi Dusheti | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 14, 2020 | Merani Martvili 2-0 Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aragvi Dusheti score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merani Martvili score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragvi Dusheti | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Merani Martvili | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aragvi Dusheti sit 6th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (40 points from 31 matches) and Merani Martvili sit 4th (43 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 40 | 43 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 41 | 40 |
A question about Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aragvi Dusheti the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Merani Martvili.
- Where and when is Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili played?
- Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tsentraluri Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.