Match

Arambagh vs Dhaka Wanderers: prediction and stats

Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 08:45 AM (UTC)Mymensingh Stadium, Mymensingh

ArambaghDhaka Wanderers

The Footlab AI model makes Arambagh the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Dhaka Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arambagh wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arambagh vs Dhaka Wanderers?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Arambagh (1,172) and Dhaka Wanderers (1,145).

41%24%35%
Arambagh winDrawDhaka Wanderers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arambagh vs Dhaka Wanderers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arambagh

4-3-3
  1. 7S. R. Khan
  2. 20M. Pradhan
  3. 11K. Kizito
  1. 14S. Joy Tanchangy
  2. 40A. Cishty
  3. 15Joy Kumar
  1. 2M. Rocky
  2. 5Mahamudul Kiron
  3. 4Mohammed Suleman
  4. 12N. Uddin
  1. 1A. Hossen

Dhaka Wanderers

4-3-3
  1. 45U. Diarra
  2. 3S. Ahmad
  3. 12S. Ritchil
  1. 19A. Ali
  2. 66J. Hossain
  3. 70Gustavo Henrique Balduino Ribeiro
  1. 2Monir Hossain
  2. 4M. Emon
  3. 5M. Imran Khan
  4. 80Khusan Ganijanov
  1. 1M. Ranu

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arambagh have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Dhaka Wanderers have 2, 0 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arambagh
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Bangladesh Police(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka(away)0-6Premier League
Oct 6, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka(away)1-3Federation Cup
Oct 3, 2026Rahmatgonj MFS(home)2-2Premier League
Sep 19, 2026Bashundhara Kings(home)1-1Premier League
Dhaka Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Bashundhara Kings(away)0-7Premier League
Oct 6, 2026Bashundhara Kings(home)0-5Federation Cup
Oct 3, 2026Abahani(home)1-5Premier League
Sep 18, 2026Fakirerpool(away)1-2Premier League
May 27, 2025Bashundhara Kings(away)3-5Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Arambagh score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dhaka Wanderers score 0.7 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arambagh0.82.336/159/15
Dhaka Wanderers0.73.517/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Arambagh vs Dhaka Wanderers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arambagh vs Dhaka Wanderers?
The Footlab AI model makes Arambagh the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Dhaka Wanderers.
Where and when is Arambagh vs Dhaka Wanderers played?
Arambagh vs Dhaka Wanderers is played on October 20, 2026 at 08:45 AM (UTC) at Mymensingh Stadium, in the Federation Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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