Where and when is Arandina vs Salamanca II played?

Arandina vs Salamanca II is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arandina vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero

Arandina

Salamanca II

The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arandina vs Salamanca II?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Arandina (1,717) and Salamanca II (1,773).

Arandina win39 %

Draw28 %

Salamanca II win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arandina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Becerril Campos(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Bembibre(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	UD Santa Marta(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Salamanca II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2023	Real Ávila(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023	Unami(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023	Ponferradina II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023	Arandina(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arandina win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Salamanca II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2023	Salamanca II 1-1 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 4, 2022	Arandina 2-1 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 13, 2022	Arandina 1-0 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 30, 2021	Salamanca II 0-2 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 1, 2020	Arandina 3-2 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 5, 2019	Salamanca II 0-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs Arandina on Apr 2, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arandina	1.3	1.5	2	9/15	7/15
Salamanca II	1.3	0.7	7	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32	46	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Salamanca II?: The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Salamanca II.
Where and when is Arandina vs Salamanca II played?: Arandina vs Salamanca II is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.