Villaralbo vs Almazán: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo
The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Almazán. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villaralbo vs Almazán?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,729) and Almazán (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Almazán have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villaralbo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Almazán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Almazán 2-1 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Villaralbo 0-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 11, 2025 | Villaralbo 3-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Almazán 2-1 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Villaralbo 0-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Almazán 1-0 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Villaralbo on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaralbo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Almazán | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villaralbo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and Almazán sit 7th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almazán | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 48 |
| 11 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 37 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Almazán?
- The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Almazán.
- Where and when is Villaralbo vs Almazán played?
- Villaralbo vs Almazán is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027GuijuelovsCristo Atlético
- Jan 31, 2027ArandinavsSalamanca II
- Jan 31, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsMirandés II
- Jan 31, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsTurégano
- Jan 31, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsUD Santa Marta
- Jan 31, 2027Atlético MansillésvsBembibre
- Jan 31, 2027Palencia CFvsBurgos Promesas
- Jan 31, 2027Unionistas IIvsCalasanz de Soria