Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Bembibre played?

Atlético Mansillés vs Bembibre is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético Mansillés

Bembibre

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Bembibre?

Atlético Mansillés starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,657).

Atlético Mansillés win57 %

Draw25 %

Bembibre win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Bembibre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Arandina(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bembibre win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Bembibre 1-1 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 15, 2025	Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 9, 2025	Bembibre 0-0 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 23, 2024	Atlético Mansillés 3-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15
Bembibre	1.3	1.6	5	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Bembibre sit 14th (34 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38	52	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Bembibre?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Bembibre played?: Atlético Mansillés vs Bembibre is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.