Aranova vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Aranova the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aranova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aranova vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Aranova (1,703) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,621).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aranova vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aranova
Not enough data to predict the Aranova lineup.
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Not enough data to predict the Sarrabus Ogliastra lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Aranova have 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trastevere(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Certosa V. Campagnano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Afragolese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Unipomezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Aranova score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 7; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aranova | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aranova sit 11th in Serie D - Girone G (9 points from 7 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aranova | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Aranova vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aranova vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aranova the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Aranova vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
- Aranova vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.