Certosa V. Campagnano vs Paganese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G · Matchday 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Certosa V. Campagnano the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Paganese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Certosa V. Campagnano wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Certosa V. Campagnano vs Paganese?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Certosa V. Campagnano (1,727) and Paganese (1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Certosa V. Campagnano vs Paganese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Certosa V. Campagnano
Not enough data to predict the Certosa V. Campagnano lineup.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Certosa V. Campagnano have 6 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Paganese have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Trastevere(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ossese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Certosa V. Campagnano score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 13; Paganese score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Certosa V. Campagnano | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/13 | 7/13 |
| Paganese | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Certosa V. Campagnano sit 6th in Serie D - Girone G (17 points from 11 matches) and Paganese sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Paganese | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Certosa V. Campagnano vs Paganese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Certosa V. Campagnano vs Paganese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Certosa V. Campagnano the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Paganese.
- Where and when is Certosa V. Campagnano vs Paganese played?
- Certosa V. Campagnano vs Paganese is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.