Trastevere vs Sarnese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, Roma
The Footlab model makes Trastevere the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Sarnese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trastevere vs Sarnese?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Trastevere (1,719) and Sarnese (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trastevere have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sarnese have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 10, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Anzio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olbia(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Pompei(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Trastevere win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sarnese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Trastevere 0-1 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Sarnese 4-2 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Trastevere vs Sarnese on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Trastevere score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sarnese score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trastevere | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sarnese | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trastevere | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 46 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trastevere vs Sarnese?
- The Footlab model makes Trastevere the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Sarnese.
- Where and when is Trastevere vs Sarnese played?
- Trastevere vs Sarnese is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.