Arar vs Al Qalah: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah Bin Masaad Sport City Stadium, Arar
The Footlab AI model makes Al Qalah the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Qalah wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arar vs Al Qalah?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Arar (1,466) and Al Qalah (1,565).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arar vs Al Qalah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arar
Not enough data to predict the Arar lineup.
Al Qalah
Not enough data to predict the Al Qalah lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arar have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Qalah have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Taraji(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al Qous(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Mudhar Club(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Al Gottah(away) | 4-6 | Division 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Nairyah(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Hajer(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al-Wajj(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Ohod(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Loa(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al Rayan(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arar win, 0 draws, 1 Al Qalah win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Arar 3-0 Al Qalah | Division 2 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Al Qalah 3-0 Arar | Division 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arar score 1.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al Qalah score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arar | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Qalah | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Arar vs Al Qalah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arar vs Al Qalah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Qalah the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arar.
- Where and when is Arar vs Al Qalah played?
- Arar vs Al Qalah is played on December 9, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah Bin Masaad Sport City Stadium, in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.