Match

Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 28Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan

AraratArarat-Armenia

The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Ararat. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?

Ararat-Armenia is a heavy favourite: 1,878 Elo points against 1,498, a 379-point gap.

11%19%70%
Ararat winDrawArarat-Armenia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ararat

4-3-3
  1. 7P. Handzongo
  2. 17E. Movsesyan
  3. 30A. Aslanyan
  1. 10A. Grigoryan
  2. 6O. Chukwu
  3. 9B. Hovhannisyan
  1. 3A. Khachumyan
  2. 55G. Lima
  3. 18Malick Berte
  4. 33V. Haroyan
  1. 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou

Ararat-Armenia

4-2-3-1
  1. 91Sandro Lima
  1. 77A. Serobyan
  2. 8J. Balanta
  3. 19K. Muradyan
  4. 7Z. Shaghoyan
  5. 10A. Ambartsumyan
  1. 47A. Malis
  2. 43Bruno Wilson
  3. 16E. Grigoryan
  4. 5Luís Felipe
  1. 98João Bravim

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ararat-Armenia have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ararat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Sardarapat(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Alashkert(home)0-2Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Pyunik Yerevan(away)2-6Cup
Oct 23, 2026Van(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Shirak(home)1-1Premier League
Ararat-Armenia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Torreense(away)2-3UEFA Europa League
Nov 1, 2026Gandzasar(home)3-0Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Olympia Yerevan(away)4-1Cup
Oct 26, 2026FC Noah(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026AZ Alkmaar(home)0-4UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ararat wins, 0 draws, 6 Ararat-Armenia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Ararat 0-4 Ararat-ArmeniaFriendlies Clubs
Sep 5, 2026Ararat 0-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Apr 25, 2026Ararat-Armenia 4-0 AraratPremier League
Nov 21, 2025Ararat 1-2 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Aug 30, 2025Ararat-Armenia 4-2 AraratPremier League
May 28, 2025Ararat-Armenia 6-0 AraratPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ararat score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ararat0.82.126/158/15
Ararat-Armenia1.91.368/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ararat sit 9th in Premier League (11 points from 13 matches) and Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd (29 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Ararat-Armenia12921241029
9Ararat13328102111

A question about Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Ararat.
Where and when is Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia played?
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ararat and Ararat-Armenia