Shirak vs Sardarapat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Shirak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sardarapat wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shirak vs Sardarapat?
Sardarapat starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,462).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shirak vs Sardarapat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shirak
4-3-3- 10D. Kodia
- 10D. Kodia
- 53M. Harutyunyan
- 6R. Misakyan
- 19S. Tsarukyan
- 8L. Darbinyan
- 2H. Pahlevanyan
- 5T. Sumbulyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 55L. Karapetyan
Sardarapat
4-3-3- 8L. Petrosyan
- 28H. Minasyan
- 9L. Vardanyan
- 77G. Abrahamyan
- 10Y. Budagyan
- 21S. Galstyan
- 4Armen Sargsyan
- 19J. Quiñonez
- 5Ousmane Konate
- 22Sergey Kochkanyan
- 39G. Matinyan
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shirak have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sardarapat have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Syunik(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Shirak win, 0 draws, 0 Sardarapat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shirak 2-0 Sardarapat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shirak score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sardarapat score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirak | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Sardarapat | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shirak sit 7th in Premier League (11 points from 10 matches) and Sardarapat sit 6th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sardarapat | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
| 7 | Shirak | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Shirak vs Sardarapat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shirak vs Sardarapat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Shirak.
- Where and when is Shirak vs Sardarapat played?
- Shirak vs Sardarapat is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gyumri City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.