Gandzasar vs Ararat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gandzasar Stadium, Kapan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Gandzasar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gandzasar vs Ararat?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Gandzasar (1,365) and Ararat (1,461).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gandzasar vs Ararat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gandzasar
4-3-3- 18A. Avanesyan
- 21L. Reis
- 8E. Lizalda
- 14M. Ahouangbo
- 29Decio Neto
- 33Robson
- 55S. Kanda
- 12A. Khachatryan
- 22M. Asatryan
- 2A. Mikhaelyan
- 77D. Davtyan
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 4V. Samsonyan
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 55G. Lima
- 18Malick Berte
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 05:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gandzasar have 1 win, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Ararat have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Van(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Van(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Urartu(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Van(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gandzasar wins, 3 draws, 1 Ararat win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar 0-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gandzasar 2-1 Ararat | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ararat 0-2 Gandzasar | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Gandzasar 1-1 Ararat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Gandzasar 1-1 Ararat | Premier League |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Ararat 1-1 Gandzasar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gandzasar score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Ararat | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gandzasar sit 12th in Premier League (3 points from 11 matches) and Ararat sit 8th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ararat | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 12 | Gandzasar | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 3 |
A question about Gandzasar vs Ararat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gandzasar vs Ararat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Gandzasar.
- Where and when is Gandzasar vs Ararat played?
- Gandzasar vs Ararat is played on May 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gandzasar Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.