Gandzasar vs FC Noah: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gandzasar Stadium, Kapan
The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Gandzasar. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gandzasar vs FC Noah?
FC Noah is a heavy favourite: 1,916 Elo points against 1,454, a 462-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gandzasar have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; FC Noah have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gandzasar win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FC Noah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Gandzasar 1-4 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Gandzasar 0-3 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | FC Noah 4-1 Gandzasar | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | FC Noah 1-0 Gandzasar | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | FC Noah 4-0 Gandzasar | Cup |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Gandzasar 0-3 FC Noah | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gandzasar score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Noah score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Noah | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gandzasar sit 8th in Premier League (3 points from 4 matches) and FC Noah sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Gandzasar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gandzasar vs FC Noah?
- The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Gandzasar.
- Where and when is Gandzasar vs FC Noah played?
- Gandzasar vs FC Noah is played on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gandzasar Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.