Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 2, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Full time
What was the result of Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
Arbroath won 2-1 on September 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 21′J. BirdArbroath
- 45′A. RoseAyr Utd
- 82′Jermaine Samuel HyltonArbroath
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ayr Utd have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Morton(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Queen's Park(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Montrose(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Livingston(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Morton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 6-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arbroath win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2023 | Arbroath 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Ayr Utd 2-2 Arbroath | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Arbroath 0-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Ayr Utd 0-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Arbroath 1-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Arbroath | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 6th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy