Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 1, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Full time
What was the result of Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
Arbroath and Ayr Utd drew 1-1 on August 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′J. MurphyAyr Utd
- 89′N. TodorovArbroath
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ayr Utd have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Annan Athletic(home) | 6-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ayr Utd(away) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Jul 12, 2025 | ST Mirren(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Dundee(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | ST Mirren(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Annan Athletic(away) | 6-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Kilmarnock(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arbroath win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ayr Utd 4-0 Arbroath | League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ayr Utd 5-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Ayr Utd 2-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Arbroath 0-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Arbroath 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Arbroath 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 6th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy