Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Full time
What was the result of Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
Arbroath and Ayr Utd drew 1-1 on March 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 74′F. MarshallArbroath
- 86′A. DowdsAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Ayr Utd have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Morton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 3-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arbroath win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Arbroath | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Arbroath 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ayr Utd 4-0 Arbroath | League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ayr Utd 5-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Ayr Utd 2-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Arbroath 0-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 6th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy