Ayr Utd vs Arbroath: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 15, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Arbroath?
Ayr Utd and Arbroath drew 1-1 on November 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′F. MarshallArbroath
- 87′K. HoltAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Arbroath have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ross County(away) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Queen's Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Partick(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Morton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Morton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Ross County(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | ST Johnstone(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Queen's Park(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ayr Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arbroath win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2025 | Arbroath 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ayr Utd 4-0 Arbroath | League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ayr Utd 5-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Ayr Utd 2-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Arbroath 0-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Arbroath 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arbroath score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Arbroath | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 5th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Arbroath sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy