Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 17, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ayr Utd have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | Morton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Queen of the South(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Falkirk(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | Dundee(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Dundee(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2020 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2020 | Morton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arbroath win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Arbroath | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Arbroath 0-3 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2018 | Arbroath 1-1 Ayr Utd | League One |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Arbroath | League One |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Arbroath 1-4 Ayr Utd | League One |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Arbroath | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 6th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy