Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: result 1-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2018 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Full time
What was the result of Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
Arbroath and Ayr Utd drew 1-1 on March 14, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 45′D. DenholmArbroath
- 86′C. McGuffieAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ayr Utd have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Mar 6, 2018 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 3-5 | League One |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Feb 20, 2018 | Stranraer(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | Raith Rovers(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Airdrie United(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Feb 17, 2018 | East Fife(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Feb 3, 2018 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Jan 27, 2018 | Queen's Park(away) | 4-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Arbroath win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Arbroath | League One |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Arbroath 1-4 Ayr Utd | League One |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Arbroath | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 2.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy