Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Full time
What was the result of Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
Arbroath and Ayr Utd drew 1-1 on October 23, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 56′M. McKennaArbroath
- 80′J. AfolabiAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | Raith Rovers(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Morton(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Kilmarnock(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Queen of the South(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | Queen of the South(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Partick(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Morton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Rangers U21(away) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arbroath win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2021 | Ayr Utd 2-2 Arbroath | Championship |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Arbroath 4-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Arbroath | Championship |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Arbroath 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2019 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Arbroath | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Arbroath 0-3 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 6th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy