Arbroath vs Queen's Park: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
The Footlab model makes Arbroath the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Queen's Park. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arbroath vs Queen's Park?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Arbroath (1,726) and Queen's Park (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Queen's Park have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arbroath win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Queen's Park win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Arbroath 1-0 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Queen's Park 2-1 Arbroath | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Arbroath 4-1 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Queen's Park 1-3 Arbroath | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Arbroath 0-5 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Queen's Park 6-0 Arbroath | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Arbroath vs Queen's Park on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Queen's Park score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Queen's Park | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 6th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Queen's Park sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arbroath vs Queen's Park?
- The Footlab model makes Arbroath the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Queen's Park.
- Where and when is Arbroath vs Queen's Park played?
- Arbroath vs Queen's Park is played on September 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Gayfield Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.