Dunfermline vs Partick: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)KDM Group East End Park, Dunfermline
The Footlab model makes Partick the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Partick?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Dunfermline (1,787) and Partick (1,883).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunfermline have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Partick have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dunfermline win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Partick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Partick 2-1 Dunfermline | Premiership |
| May 12, 2026 | Dunfermline 1-1 Partick | Premiership |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Partick 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Dunfermline 2-2 Partick | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Partick 1-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dunfermline 0-2 Partick | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Partick vs Dunfermline on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunfermline score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Partick score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Partick | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunfermline sit 8th in Championship (2 points from 3 matches) and Partick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Partick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Dunfermline | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunfermline vs Partick?
- The Footlab model makes Partick the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Dunfermline vs Partick played?
- Dunfermline vs Partick is played on September 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at KDM Group East End Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.