Match

Arema FC vs Adhyaksa: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FCAdhyaksa

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Adhyaksa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs Adhyaksa?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Adhyaksa (1,735).

Arema FC win43 %
Draw26 %
Adhyaksa win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Adhyaksa have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Adhyaksa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Persipura Jayapura(away)1-0Liga 2
May 2, 2026Sriwijaya FC(home)4-0Liga 2
Apr 25, 2026PSMS Medan(away)1-1Liga 2
Apr 18, 2026Bekasi City(away)1-3Liga 2
Apr 12, 2026Persiraja Banda Aceh(home)4-3Liga 2

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Adhyaksa score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15
Adhyaksa2.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Arema FC3413912534748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Adhyaksa?
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Adhyaksa.
Where and when is Arema FC vs Adhyaksa played?
Arema FC vs Adhyaksa is played on September 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arema FC and Adhyaksa

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