Match

Arema FC vs Dewa United: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FCDewa United

The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs Dewa United?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Dewa United (1,806).

Arema FC win34 %
Draw28 %
Dewa United win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dewa United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Dewa United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Bali United(home)0-1Liga 1
May 16, 2026Persis Solo(away)0-1Liga 1
May 8, 2026PSBS Biak Numfor(away)5-0Liga 1
May 3, 2026Semen Padang(home)1-0Liga 1
Apr 29, 2026Persijap(home)1-0Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Dewa United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 26, 2026Dewa United 2-0 Arema FCLiga 1
Sep 13, 2025Arema FC 1-2 Dewa UnitedLiga 1
Jan 11, 2025Dewa United 2-0 Arema FCLiga 1
Aug 12, 2024Arema FC 0-0 Dewa UnitedLiga 1
Nov 2, 2023Arema FC 2-1 Dewa UnitedLiga 1
Jul 2, 2023Dewa United 1-0 Arema FCLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Dewa United vs Arema FC on Jan 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15
Dewa United1.30.956/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Dewa United sit 7th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Dewa United3416513443753
9Arema FC3413912534748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Dewa United?
The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arema FC.
Where and when is Arema FC vs Dewa United played?
Arema FC vs Dewa United is played on October 25, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arema FC and Dewa United

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