Persita vs Bali United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno, Jakarta
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persita vs Bali United?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Persita (1,676) and Bali United (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persita have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Bali United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Malut United(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Persita win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bali United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Persita 0-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Bali United 0-0 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Bali United 1-1 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Persita 0-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Persita 4-2 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Bali United 3-0 Persita | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persita vs Bali United on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persita | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persita sit 10th in Liga 1 (45 points from 34 matches) and Bali United sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persita vs Bali United?
- The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Persita.
- Where and when is Persita vs Bali United played?
- Persita vs Bali United is played on October 25, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026AdhyaksavsPSIM Yogyakarta
- Oct 24, 2026PersijapvsMalut United
- Oct 25, 2026Arema FCvsDewa United
- Oct 26, 2026GarudayaksavsPersib Bandung
- Oct 26, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPersepam Madura Utd
- Oct 26, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsPSM Makassar
- Oct 26, 2026PersijavsPersik Kediri
- Oct 28, 2026PSS SlemanvsPusamania Borneo