Match

Arema FC vs Persik Kediri: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FCPersik Kediri

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Persik Kediri. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs Persik Kediri?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Persik Kediri (1,670).

Arema FC win61 %
Draw21 %
Persik Kediri win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Persik Kediri have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Persik Kediri
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-5Liga 1
May 16, 2026Persija(home)1-3Liga 1
May 8, 2026Semen Padang(away)3-0Liga 1
May 3, 2026Arema FC(home)3-2Liga 1
Apr 29, 2026Pusamania Borneo(home)0-1Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Persik Kediri win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Persik Kediri 3-2 Arema FCLiga 1
Jan 11, 2026Arema FC 2-1 Persik KediriLiga 1
May 11, 2025Arema FC 0-3 Persik KediriLiga 1
Dec 16, 2024Persik Kediri 1-0 Arema FCLiga 1
Nov 27, 2023Arema FC 0-1 Persik KediriLiga 1
Jul 15, 2023Persik Kediri 5-2 Arema FCLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persik Kediri vs Arema FC on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Persik Kediri score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15
Persik Kediri1.31.939/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Persik Kediri sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Arema FC3413912534748
12Persik Kediri3411617426139

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Persik Kediri?
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Persik Kediri.
Where and when is Arema FC vs Persik Kediri played?
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri is played on September 18, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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