Arema FC vs Persik Kediri: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Persik Kediri. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arema FC vs Persik Kediri?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Persik Kediri (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Persik Kediri have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-5 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 3-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Persik Kediri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Persik Kediri 3-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Arema FC 2-1 Persik Kediri | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Arema FC 0-3 Persik Kediri | Liga 1 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Persik Kediri 1-0 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Arema FC 0-1 Persik Kediri | Liga 1 |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Persik Kediri 5-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persik Kediri vs Arema FC on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Persik Kediri score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Persik Kediri | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Persik Kediri sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 61 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Persik Kediri?
- The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Persik Kediri.
- Where and when is Arema FC vs Persik Kediri played?
- Arema FC vs Persik Kediri is played on September 18, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsPSIM Yogyakarta
- Sep 19, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsGarudayaksa
- Sep 19, 2026PSM MakassarvsPersita
- Sep 19, 2026PersijavsMalut United
- Sep 19, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsAdhyaksa
- Sep 20, 2026Pusamania BorneovsBali United
- Sep 20, 2026Dewa UnitedvsPSS Sleman
- Sep 20, 2026PersijapvsPersib Bandung