Persepam Madura Utd vs PSIM Yogyakarta: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
The Footlab model makes Persepam Madura Utd the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for PSIM Yogyakarta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Persepam Madura Utd (1,672) and PSIM Yogyakarta (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persepam Madura Utd have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; PSIM Yogyakarta have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persita(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Persepam Madura Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta 2-1 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd 0-3 PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th in Liga 1 (35 points from 34 matches) and PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persepam Madura Utd vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
- The Footlab model makes Persepam Madura Utd the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for PSIM Yogyakarta.
- Where and when is Persepam Madura Utd vs PSIM Yogyakarta played?
- Persepam Madura Utd vs PSIM Yogyakarta is played on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.