PSM Makassar vs Persita: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Persita?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate PSM Makassar (1,685) and Persita (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Persita have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Malut United(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PSM Makassar win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Persita win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | PSM Makassar 2-4 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Persita 2-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| May 23, 2025 | PSM Makassar 1-0 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Persita 2-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PSM Makassar 4-0 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Persita 0-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSM Makassar vs Persita on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Persita | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSM Makassar sit 15th in Liga 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Persita sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 45 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs Persita?
- The Footlab model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Persita.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs Persita played?
- PSM Makassar vs Persita is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Arema FCvsPersik Kediri
- Sep 18, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsPSIM Yogyakarta
- Sep 19, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsGarudayaksa
- Sep 19, 2026PersijavsMalut United
- Sep 19, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsAdhyaksa
- Sep 20, 2026Pusamania BorneovsBali United
- Sep 20, 2026Dewa UnitedvsPSS Sleman
- Sep 20, 2026PersijapvsPersib Bandung