Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo?
Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pusamania Borneo have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Pusamania Borneo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo 3-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Arema FC 1-3 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Pusamania Borneo 3-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Arema FC 0-2 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 1-1 Arema FC | Piala Presiden |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 1-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd (79 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pusamania Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74 | 31 | 79 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo?
- The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo played?
- Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo is played on May 23, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 21, 2027PSS SlemanvsMalut United
- May 21, 2027PersijapvsBhayangkara FC
- May 21, 2027Persebaya SurabayavsPersita
- May 22, 2027Bali UnitedvsDewa United
- May 22, 2027Persepam Madura UtdvsPersija
- May 22, 2027GarudayaksavsPSM Makassar
- May 23, 2027PSIM YogyakartavsAdhyaksa
- May 23, 2027Persik KedirivsPersib Bandung