Match

Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FCPusamania Borneo

The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo?

Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,747).

Arema FC win27 %
Draw25 %
Pusamania Borneo win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pusamania Borneo have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Pusamania Borneo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Malut United(home)7-1Liga 1
May 17, 2026Persijap(away)0-0Liga 1
May 11, 2026Bali United(away)3-2Liga 1
May 5, 2026Persita(home)2-0Liga 1
Apr 29, 2026Persik Kediri(away)1-0Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Pusamania Borneo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Pusamania Borneo 3-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Oct 26, 2025Arema FC 1-3 Pusamania BorneoLiga 1
Jan 19, 2025Pusamania Borneo 3-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Aug 17, 2024Arema FC 0-2 Pusamania BorneoLiga 1
Aug 4, 2024Pusamania Borneo 1-1 Arema FCPiala Presiden
Apr 21, 2024Pusamania Borneo 1-2 Arema FCLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC on Feb 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15
Pusamania Borneo2.70.9411/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd (79 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Pusamania Borneo342545743179
9Arema FC3413912534748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo?
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC.
Where and when is Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo played?
Arema FC vs Pusamania Borneo is played on May 23, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arema FC and Pusamania Borneo

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