Match

Arenteiro vs Antela: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Espiñedo, O Carballiño

ArenteiroAntela

The Footlab model makes Antela the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Arenteiro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenteiro vs Antela?

Arenteiro win25 %
Draw29 %
Antela win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenteiro have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Antela have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenteiro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Lugo(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ponferradina(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026Guadalajara(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 3, 2026Cacereño(home)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 25, 2026Osasuna II(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenteiro vs Antela?
The Footlab model makes Antela the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Arenteiro.
Where and when is Arenteiro vs Antela played?
Arenteiro vs Antela is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Espiñedo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenteiro and Antela

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