Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Igralište Golema Rečica, Tetovo
The Footlab model makes Aresimi the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bregalnica Štip. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Aresimi (1,554) and Bregalnica Štip (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aresimi have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bregalnica Štip have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 7-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Aresimi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bregalnica Štip win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip 4-0 Aresimi | First League |
| May 3, 2025 | Aresimi 2-1 Bregalnica Štip | Second League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Bregalnica Štip 2-1 Aresimi | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Bregalnica Štip vs Aresimi on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aresimi score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bregalnica Štip score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aresimi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Bregalnica Štip | 2.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aresimi sit 7th in First League (6 points from 4 matches) and Bregalnica Štip sit 5th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bregalnica Štip | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Aresimi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip?
- The Footlab model makes Aresimi the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bregalnica Štip.
- Where and when is Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip played?
- Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Igralište Golema Rečica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.