Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Kavadarci
The Footlab model makes Tikveš the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Bashkimi Kumanovo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
Tikveš starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tikveš have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bashkimi Kumanovo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 5-0 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 0-5 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Tikveš win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bashkimi Kumanovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 0-5 Tikveš | First League |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-2 Tikveš | First League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-0 Tikveš | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Tikveš 3-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 3-1 Tikveš | First League |
Last archived meeting: Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Tikveš on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tikveš score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bashkimi Kumanovo score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tikveš | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tikveš sit 3rd in First League (7 points from 4 matches) and Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tikveš | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
- The Footlab model makes Tikveš the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Bashkimi Kumanovo.
- Where and when is Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo played?
- Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.