Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Kavadarci
The Footlab AI model makes Tikveš the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Bashkimi Kumanovo. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
Tikveš starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,494).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tikveš
4-3-3- 11N'fanly Sylla
- 22Toheeb Lawal
- 7Lucianinho
- 15T. Nikolovski
- 23E. O. Wisdom
- 34K. Ackovski
- 6B. Ramadani
- 4I. Fall
- 21A. Varelovski
- 74Renatinho
- 1H. Stevkovski
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4-3-3- 7L. Ribeiro
- 80Nickel Orr
- 77H. Saiti
- 20A. Stafa
- 10A. Murati
- 4G. Tenlep
- 11A. Mayimona
- 33Hasan Sumer
- 2Y. Fawzi
- 3B. Iseni
- 30B. Aliju
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tikveš have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Bashkimi Kumanovo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Krosu Sport Bitola(away) | 13-0 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gjilani(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Drita(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 3-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Tikveš wins, 1 draw, 2 Bashkimi Kumanovo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 0-5 Tikveš | First League |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-2 Tikveš | First League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-0 Tikveš | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Tikveš 3-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 3-1 Tikveš | First League |
Last archived meeting: Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Tikveš on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tikveš score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bashkimi Kumanovo score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tikveš | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tikveš sit 4th in First League (16 points from 9 matches) and Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 9th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tikveš | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tikveš the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Bashkimi Kumanovo.
- Where and when is Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo played?
- Tikveš vs Bashkimi Kumanovo is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.