Aretxabaleta vs Leioa: result 3-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Ibarra, Aretxabaleta (Arechavaleta)
Full time
What was the result of Aretxabaleta vs Leioa?
Aretxabaleta won 3-2 on February 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′Gorka GaraiLeioa
- 35′564056Leioa
- 41′641860Aretxabaleta
- 53′641861Aretxabaleta
- 72′641861Aretxabaleta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aretxabaleta have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Leioa have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Añorga(home) | 6-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Zarautz(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Zamudio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Zamudio(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Aretxabaleta wins, 0 draws, 1 Leioa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Leioa 2-4 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Leioa 2-1 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Aretxabaleta 2-1 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aretxabaleta score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leioa score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aretxabaleta | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Leioa | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aretxabaleta sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Leioa sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Aretxabaleta vs Leioa?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy