Leioa vs Aretxabaleta: result 2-4 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriena, Leioa
Full time
What was the result of Leioa vs Aretxabaleta?
Aretxabaleta won 2-4 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′611619Aretxabaleta
- 41′566872Leioa
- 45′564047Aretxabaleta
- 77′611626Aretxabaleta
- 81′566873Leioa
- 89′564048Aretxabaleta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leioa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Aretxabaleta have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Zamudio(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Santurtzi(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Pasaia KE(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 24, 2025 | Beasain(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Eibar III(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Añorga(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Durango(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Zarautz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 10, 2025 | Portugalete(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leioa win, 0 draws, 1 Aretxabaleta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Leioa 2-1 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Aretxabaleta 2-1 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Leioa score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aretxabaleta score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leioa | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Aretxabaleta | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leioa sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 6 matches) and Aretxabaleta sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Leioa vs Aretxabaleta?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy