Argentina vs Ecuador: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 8, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Argentina vs Ecuador?
Argentina won 1-0 on September 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 78′L. MessiArgentina
Official lineup for Argentina vs Ecuador
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Argentina
4-3-3- 15N. González
- 22Lautaro Martínez
- 10L. Messi
- 20A. Mac Allister
- 8E. Fernández
- 7R. De Paul
- 3N. Tagliafico
- 19N. Otamendi
- 13C. Romero
- 21N. Molina
- 23E. Martínez
Ecuador
5-3-2- 13E. Valencia
- 10G. Plata
- 23M. Caicedo
- 8C. Gruezo
- 5J. Cifuentes
- 7P. Estupiñán
- 6W. Pacho
- 4R. Arboleda
- 2F. Torres
- 3J. Hurtado
- 1H. Galíndez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentina have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Ecuador have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2023 | Indonesia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 15, 2023 | Australia(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Curaçao(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2023 | Panama(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Dec 18, 2022 | France(home) | 3-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2023 | Costa Rica(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Costa Rica(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Bolivia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Australia(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Australia(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Argentina wins, 1 draw, 1 Ecuador win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | Ecuador 1-1 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Argentina 3-0 Ecuador | Copa America |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Argentina 1-0 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Ecuador 1-6 Argentina | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Ecuador 1-3 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2015 | Argentina 0-2 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Argentina score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentina sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification South America (38 points from 18 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
A question about Argentina vs Ecuador?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy