Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploieşti
The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Arges Pitesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Petrolul Ploiesti (1,680) and Arges Pitesti (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolul Ploiesti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Arges Pitesti have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Arges Pitesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti 1-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 2-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Arges Pitesti 0-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| May 19, 2023 | Arges Pitesti 3-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Arges Pitesti 0-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Petrolul Ploiesti 2-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Arges Pitesti sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arges Pitesti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti?
- The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Arges Pitesti.
- Where and when is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti played?
- Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ilie Oană, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.