Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orăşenesc, Mioveni
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Arges Pitesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arges Pitesti have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Universitatea Craiova have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arges Pitesti win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Universitatea Craiova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 0-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Arges Pitesti 0-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 0-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Arges Pitesti 1-2 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 3-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 4-3 Arges Pitesti | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arges Pitesti sit 5th in Liga I (10 points from 6 matches) and Universitatea Craiova sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Arges Pitesti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Arges Pitesti.
- Where and when is Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova played?
- Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orăşenesc, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.