Farul Constanta vs Arges Pitesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Central, Ovidiu
The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Arges Pitesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Arges Pitesti?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Farul Constanta (1,692) and Arges Pitesti (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farul Constanta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Arges Pitesti have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Farul Constanta win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Arges Pitesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti 1-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Arges Pitesti 1-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Farul Constanta 0-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Arges Pitesti 0-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Farul Constanta 4-1 Arges Pitesti | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Farul Constanta 3-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Arges Pitesti vs Farul Constanta on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farul Constanta sit 7th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Arges Pitesti sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arges Pitesti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farul Constanta vs Arges Pitesti?
- The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Arges Pitesti.
- Where and when is Farul Constanta vs Arges Pitesti played?
- Farul Constanta vs Arges Pitesti is played on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Central, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.