Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 · Matchday 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Filiaton, Filiates
The Footlab AI model makes Aris Filiates the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Lefkimmi. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi?
Aris Filiates starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aris Filiates
Not enough data to predict the Aris Filiates lineup.
Lefkimmi
Not enough data to predict the Lefkimmi lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris Filiates have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lefkimmi have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Plataria(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atromitos Patras(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pallixouriakos(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Panagriniakos(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Panegialios(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Panagriniakos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Preveza(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Panegialios(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Plataria(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Agios Matthaios(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aris Filiates win, 0 draws, 1 Lefkimmi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Aris Filiates 1-0 Lefkimmi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Lefkimmi 3-2 Aris Filiates | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aris Filiates score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lefkimmi score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Filiates | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Lefkimmi | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aris Filiates sit 6th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (3 points from 2 matches) and Lefkimmi sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris Filiates | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lefkimmi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
A question about Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aris Filiates the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Lefkimmi.
- Where and when is Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi played?
- Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Filiaton, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.