Panachaiki FC vs Tilikratis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Kostas Davourlis, Pátra (Patras)
The Footlab model makes Panachaiki FC the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Tilikratis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panachaiki FC vs Tilikratis?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Panachaiki FC (1,547) and Tilikratis (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panachaiki FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tilikratis have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthouriakos(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Loutraki(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ermis Meligous(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Thyella Patras(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Pangytheatikos(home) | 10-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Aris Filiates(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Panachaiki FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tilikratis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Panachaiki FC 2-1 Tilikratis | Super League 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Tilikratis 2-2 Panachaiki FC | Super League 2 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Panachaiki FC 2-0 Tilikratis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Tilikratis 1-0 Panachaiki FC | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Panachaiki FC vs Tilikratis on Feb 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Panachaiki FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tilikratis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panachaiki FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Tilikratis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panachaiki FC vs Tilikratis?
- The Footlab model makes Panachaiki FC the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Tilikratis.
- Where and when is Panachaiki FC vs Tilikratis played?
- Panachaiki FC vs Tilikratis is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Kostas Davourlis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.