Aris Filiates vs Levante: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Filiaton, Filiates
The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Aris Filiates. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris Filiates vs Levante?
Levante is a heavy favourite: 2,045 Elo points against 1,551 — a 494-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris Filiates have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Levante have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tilikratis(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lamia(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Aris Filiates score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Filiates | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Levante | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris Filiates vs Levante?
- The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Aris Filiates.
- Where and when is Aris Filiates vs Levante played?
- Aris Filiates vs Levante is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Filiaton, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.