Pallixouriakos vs Tilikratis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Agios Antonios, Agios Antonios
The Footlab model makes Tilikratis the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pallixouriakos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pallixouriakos vs Tilikratis?
Tilikratis starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,531 vs 1,364).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pallixouriakos have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Tilikratis have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Sep 1, 2022 | PAO Vardas(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Ethnikos Skoulikadou(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Aias Gastounis(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Zakynthos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Aris Filiates(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pallixouriakos score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tilikratis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pallixouriakos | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Tilikratis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pallixouriakos vs Tilikratis?
- The Footlab model makes Tilikratis the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pallixouriakos.
- Where and when is Pallixouriakos vs Tilikratis played?
- Pallixouriakos vs Tilikratis is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Agios Antonios, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.