Ariznabarra vs Tolosa: result 2-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 9, 2020 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Ariznabarra, Vitoria-Gasteiz
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What was the result of Ariznabarra vs Tolosa?
Ariznabarra won 2-1 on February 9, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 25′Mario Zubelzu BelaunzaranTolosa
- 52′Mikel Valenzuela LacalleAriznabarra (pen.)
- 82′Mario Zubelzu BelaunzaranAriznabarra (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ariznabarra have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Tolosa have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | Durango(away) | 0-9 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Santurtzi(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Sestao River(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Balmaseda(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Urduliz(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Lagun Onak(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Gernika(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Durango(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 4, 2020 | Santurtzi(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ariznabarra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tolosa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2019 | Tolosa 2-1 Ariznabarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tolosa vs Ariznabarra on Sep 18, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Ariznabarra score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tolosa score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariznabarra | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Tolosa | 0.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy