Match

Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr: prediction and stats

Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, Arkadag şäheri

ArkadagAltyn Asyr

The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Altyn Asyr. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr?

Arkadag starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,650).

77%14%9%
Arkadag winDrawAltyn Asyr win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arkadag

5-4-1
  1. 71D. Meredov
  1. 27Y. Gurbanov
  2. 88A. Ataýew
  3. 9R. Myratberdiýew
  4. 13V. Ballakov
  1. 12Y. Mammedov
  2. 20A. Sapargulyyev
  3. 5A. Bashimov
  4. 4M. Saparow
  5. 2G. Annagulyýew
  1. 1R. Ahallyyev

Altyn Asyr

4-2-3-1
  1. 77S. Nurmuradov
  1. 4A. Annamyradov
  2. 10R. Myratberdiýew
  3. 7M. Annayev
  4. 8Ruslan Tajiyev
  5. 20Sohrat Durdyyev
  1. 3Ş. Söýünow
  2. 2Z. Babajanow
  3. 33H. Hojovov
  4. 25R. Rovshenmyradov
  1. 23D. Berdiyev

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arkadag have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Altyn Asyr have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arkadag
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Gol Gohar(away)0-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 14, 2026Al-Jazira(away)1-2AFC Champions League Two
Sep 20, 2026Köpetdag Aşgabat(away)1-0Ýokary Liga
Sep 15, 2026Muharraq(home)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Sep 5, 2026Nebitci(away)4-2Ýokary Liga
Altyn Asyr
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Ahal(home)0-0Ýokary Liga
Oct 11, 2026Aşgabat(away)4-2Ýokary Liga
Oct 7, 2026Ahal(away)2-0Ýokary Liga
Sep 19, 2026Nebitci(away)4-2Ýokary Liga
Sep 12, 2026Şagadam(home)2-0Ýokary Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arkadag wins, 1 draw, 0 Altyn Asyr wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Altyn Asyr 2-5 ArkadagÝokary Liga
Apr 23, 2026Arkadag 0-0 Altyn AsyrÝokary Liga
Apr 18, 2026Altyn Asyr 0-1 ArkadagÝokary Liga
Dec 7, 2025Arkadag 2-0 Altyn AsyrÝokary Liga
Aug 15, 2025Altyn Asyr 2-5 ArkadagÝokary Liga
Jun 27, 2025Arkadag 7-3 Altyn AsyrÝokary Liga

Last archived meeting: Altyn Asyr vs Arkadag on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arkadag score 3.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Altyn Asyr score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arkadag3.50.787/1512/15
Altyn Asyr2.21.196/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arkadag sit 1st in Ýokary Liga (72 points from 24 matches) and Altyn Asyr sit 2nd (44 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Arkadag242400971272
2Altyn Asyr201424412544

A question about Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr?
The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Altyn Asyr.
Where and when is Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr played?
Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, in the Ýokary Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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