Arkadag vs Nebitci: prediction and stats
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, Arkadag şäheri
The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Nebitci. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arkadag vs Nebitci?
Arkadag is a heavy favourite: 1,910 Elo points against 1,348, a 562-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arkadag vs Nebitci
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arkadag
5-4-1- 71D. Meredov
- 27Y. Gurbanov
- 88A. Ataýew
- 9R. Myratberdiýew
- 13V. Ballakov
- 12Y. Mammedov
- 20A. Sapargulyyev
- 5A. Bashimov
- 4M. Saparow
- 2G. Annagulyýew
- 1R. Ahallyyev
Nebitci
4-3-3- 10H. Amanmämmedow
- 11M. Garadanow
- 6A. Metdaýew
- 7A. Ylýasow
- 5N. Mammedaliýew
- 14A. Garajaýew
- 4M. Saparow
- 17D. Orazguliýew
- 21B. Guldurdyýew
- 20Y. Magtymow
- 1A. Kerimow
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arkadag have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Nebitci have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Gol Gohar(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Muharraq(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aşgabat(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Merw(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Şagadam(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 2-4 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Arkadag wins, 0 draws, 0 Nebitci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nebitci 2-4 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Arkadag 4-1 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nebitci 0-2 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Arkadag 4-1 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Nebitci 1-8 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| May 14, 2025 | Arkadag 3-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arkadag score 3.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nebitci score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkadag | 3.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Nebitci | 1.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arkadag sit 1st in Ýokary Liga (72 points from 24 matches) and Nebitci sit 5th (19 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 12 | 72 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 19 |
A question about Arkadag vs Nebitci?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arkadag vs Nebitci?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Nebitci.
- Where and when is Arkadag vs Nebitci played?
- Arkadag vs Nebitci is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, in the Ýokary Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.