Match

ASC Dortmund vs Verl II: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 16Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund

ASC DortmundVerl II

The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Verl II. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ASC Dortmund vs Verl II?

ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,643).

ASC Dortmund win75 %
Draw15 %
Verl II win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Verl II have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ASC Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Vreden(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Maaslingen(away)1-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Ennepetal(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Vreden(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Verl II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Rheine(away)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Sprockhovel(home)3-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Jul 11, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Gievenbeck(home)3-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 17, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)1-4Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 ASC Dortmund win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Verl II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026ASC Dortmund 2-1 Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 20, 2025Verl II 0-1 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Apr 17, 2025Verl II 1-3 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Oct 27, 2024ASC Dortmund 1-2 Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: ASC Dortmund vs Verl II on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ASC Dortmund1.81.5411/158/15
Verl II1.42.038/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and Verl II sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Verl II3201646
16ASC Dortmund2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs Verl II?
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Verl II.
Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Verl II played?
ASC Dortmund vs Verl II is played on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ASC Dortmund and Verl II

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