ASC Dortmund vs Verl II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 16Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Verl II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASC Dortmund vs Verl II?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Verl II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 ASC Dortmund win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Verl II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | ASC Dortmund 2-1 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Verl II 0-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Verl II 1-3 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 27, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 1-2 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: ASC Dortmund vs Verl II on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Verl II | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and Verl II sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Verl II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs Verl II?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Verl II.
- Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Verl II played?
- ASC Dortmund vs Verl II is played on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Eintracht RheinevsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Dec 6, 2026VredenvsArminia II
- Dec 6, 2026SchermbeckvsErkenschwick
- Dec 6, 2026MaaslingenvsHiltrup
- Dec 6, 2026SprockhovelvsPreußen Münster II
- Dec 6, 2026Lippstadt 08vsGievenbeck
- Dec 6, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsVictoria Clarholz
- Dec 6, 2026TuS HordelvsEnnepetal