Arminia II vs Vreden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 33Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Arminia II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia II vs Vreden?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Arminia II (1,715) and Vreden (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Schermbeck(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Arminia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Vreden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arminia II 5-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Vreden 2-6 Arminia II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia II sit 8th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Arminia II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia II vs Vreden?
- The Footlab model makes Arminia II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Vreden.
- Where and when is Arminia II vs Vreden played?
- Arminia II vs Vreden is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsEintracht Rheine
- May 23, 2027ErkenschwickvsSchermbeck
- May 23, 2027GievenbeckvsLippstadt 08
- May 23, 2027HiltrupvsMaaslingen
- May 23, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsSprockhovel
- May 23, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- May 23, 2027EnnepetalvsTuS Hordel
- May 23, 2027Verl IIvsASC Dortmund